Hurricane Center: Tropical storm formation now at 90 pct

Mindy Sparks
November 12, 2018

The US National Hurricane Centre (NHC) is monitoring a "vigorous" tropical wave which has a 50 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm within the next day or so.

A new disturbance in the tropics has formed, and it actually has the chance to develop into a pre-Thanksgiving week tropical or subtropical system.

Designated Invest 96-L, the system was about 350 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands Sunday morning.

"It hasn't even really developed into anything yet", McMichael said."Conditions are becoming more favorable for something to develop".

It is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas.

If it strengthens into a tropical storm it would become Patty, the 16th named storm of 2018. The NHC gave the system a 20 percent chance of development through Monday, but a 70 percent chance within five days.

A cyclone is a closed-circulation rotating storm that depending on its wind-speed intensity, is classified, from weakest to strongest, as a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane.

"In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the Atlantic basin thus far in 2018 has been above normal".

Still, the system is a good reminder that the Atlantic hurricane season goes from June 1 until November 30. But forecasters say although it's rarer, historically, such storms can form in the months outside of the official hurricane season.

Other reports by Iphone Fresh

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